Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.790191 12.658311 14.710042 17.124757 19.882698 22.928027 26.538693
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.280867 10.787058 13.793110 17.639546 22.403104 28.079401 35.322845
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.488840 9.255347 12.833401 17.744183 24.243937 32.479366 43.618475
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.237548 8.096285 12.046166 17.804762 25.868160 36.621156 51.878549
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.132732 6.890066 10.941261 17.183392 26.379278 39.213733 58.207220
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.456961 6.169241 10.378572 17.187425 27.669985 42.882306 66.212802
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.922370 5.560533 9.869620 17.159311 28.841715 46.402086 74.206231
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.671894 5.374515 9.987239 18.093604 31.530867 52.329839 86.141717
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.425987 5.148502 9.994727 18.824332 33.931471 57.961826 97.990656
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.230708 4.979219 10.067918 19.654398 36.540622 64.077086 110.970160
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.948082 4.588338 9.683842 19.624718 37.671594 67.863956 120.455019
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.628343 4.061548 8.968455 18.898776 37.500617 69.454062 126.416839
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.361133 3.602289 8.330093 18.260367 37.457645 71.313966 133.070753
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.206694 3.367131 8.110127 18.402615 38.853116 75.749475 144.391697
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.057635 3.114589 7.816050 18.357011 39.879209 79.590413 154.912833
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.932811 2.896046 7.562631 18.359987 40.987377 83.638081 166.030060
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.782092 2.576151 7.030277 17.699302 40.702593 85.076899 172.508080
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.692049 2.401742 6.811096 17.694866 41.742239 89.057468 183.862432
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.612151 2.238121 6.592619 17.662715 42.712212 92.953779 195.267873
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.588792 2.240155 6.790906 18.619737 45.868266 101.306838 215.570773
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.556929 2.208814 6.897942 19.368602 48.626127 109.026446 235.049866
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.531214 2.192132 7.041433 20.219539 51.672372 117.495790 256.409196
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.474211 2.056362 6.839719 20.189025 52.727933 121.965674 270.123724